The Why Project
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Benjamin Valentino

Early Warning Project — academic lead · United States

Affiliated with USHMM Simon-Skjodt Center / Early Warning Project

Academic — peer-reviewed

Dartmouth professor; co-creator of the Early Warning Project's statistical risk models cited in atrocity forecasting.

Funding & financing

University salary; EWP supported by USHMM and Dickey Center partnerships.

Affiliations

Dartmouth College; Early Warning Project academic consortium.

Disclosures & conflicts

Model outputs rank country-level risk algorithmically; they do not adjudicate ongoing cases like Israel–Palestine in real time. USHMM partnership shapes dissemination but models are published academically.

Credibility & caveats

Quantitative risk forecasting — probabilistic, not legal genocide determinations.

Cases in this record

This source informs the record’s methodology, data, or risk assessment rather than a specific case determination. See the methodology for how sources like this are used.

Sources & disclosures