The Why Project
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Benjamin Valentino

Early Warning Project — academic lead · United States

Affiliated with USHMM Simon-Skjodt Center / Early Warning Project

Academic — peer-reviewed

Dartmouth professor; co-creator of the Early Warning Project's statistical risk models cited in atrocity forecasting.

Financing

person
Money source

University salary; EWP supported by USHMM and Dickey Center partnerships.

Institutional alignment

Dartmouth College; Early Warning Project academic consortium.

Financing is shown to help readers weigh incentives and constraints. It is not a finding that the source is truthful or false.

Disclosures & conflicts

Model outputs rank country-level risk algorithmically; they do not adjudicate ongoing cases like Israel–Palestine in real time. USHMM partnership shapes dissemination but models are published academically.

Credibility & caveats

Quantitative risk forecasting — probabilistic, not legal genocide determinations.

How this source is used

This profile is used to weigh publishers, investigators, officials, or source material cited inside case evidence. It may not itself issue a genocide determination for a case. See the methodology for the source-weighting rules.

Sources & disclosures