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Jack A. Goldstone

PITF lead modeler — political instability · United States

Affiliated with Political Instability Task Force (PITF)

Academic — peer-reviewed

Lead author of Political Instability Task Force models linking state instability to atrocity risk.

Financing

person
Money source

US government research contracts via PITF consortium.

Institutional alignment

George Mason University; PITF academic panel.

Financing is shown to help readers weigh incentives and constraints. It is not a finding that the source is truthful or false.

Disclosures & conflicts

PITF work is US-government commissioned forecasting. Models prioritize state instability indicators — not real-time legal analysis of specific conflicts.

Credibility & caveats

Long-running US-funded forecasting models — probabilistic, not legal findings.

Cases in this record

Sources & disclosures