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Jack A. Goldstone

PITF lead modeler — political instability · United States

Affiliated with Political Instability Task Force (PITF)

Academic — peer-reviewed

Lead author of Political Instability Task Force models linking state instability to atrocity risk.

Funding & financing

US government research contracts via PITF consortium.

Affiliations

George Mason University; PITF academic panel.

Disclosures & conflicts

PITF work is US-government commissioned forecasting. Models prioritize state instability indicators — not real-time legal analysis of specific conflicts.

Credibility & caveats

Long-running US-funded forecasting models — probabilistic, not legal findings.

Cases in this record

This source informs the record’s methodology, data, or risk assessment rather than a specific case determination. See the methodology for how sources like this are used.

Sources & disclosures